Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23

Mar 2, 2024 at 2pm UK

Arena Zabrze

Gornik
2 - 1
Jagiellonia

Rasak (24'), Ennali (68')
Pacheco (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Caliskaner (70')
Dieguez (23'), Stojinovic (45+1'), Nene (58'), Skrzypczak (84'), Romanczuk (86')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 3-1 Gornik
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Ruch Chorzow
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gornik Zabrze in this match.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
40.41% ( -0.47)	24.65% ( 0.11)	34.94% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 58.77% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.75% (

-0.47)

44.24% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.38% (

-0.46)

66.62% (

0.45)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

-0.43)

21.9% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

-0.66)

55.15% (

0.66)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-0.01)

24.75% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

-0.02)

59.31% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 40.41%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 34.94%

Draw 24.65%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.94%