Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21

Feb 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Arena Zabrze

Gornik
3 - 1
Korona Kielce

Zator (35' og.), Musiolik (39'), Kapralik (76')
Sekulic (47'), Kapralik (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Schikavko (68')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-3 Gornik
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Korona Kielce

All competitions

Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 LKS Lodz
Monday, February 12 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Korona Kielce
38.53% ( 0.95)	26.63% ( 0.21)	34.84% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 52% (

-0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.05% (

-0.96)

52.95% (

0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.45% (

-0.82)

74.55% (

0.82)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.21% (

0.08)

26.79% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.92% (

0.11)

62.07% (

-0.11)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

-1.17)

28.97% (

1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-1.47)

64.85% (

1.47)

Score Analysis

Gornik Zabrze 38.53%

Korona Kielce 34.84%

Draw 26.63%

Gornik Zabrze	Draw	Korona Kielce
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.53%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.84%