Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
0 - 1
Lech Poznan


Nono (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Velde (86')
Douglas (14'), van den Brom (15'), Gholizadeh (38'), Hotic (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-3 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, November 26 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lech Poznan in this match.

Result
Korona KielceDrawLech Poznan
29.88% (-0.081 -0.08)25.8% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)44.32% (0.111 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.085999999999999 0.09)50.9% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.078000000000003 0.08)72.78% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.25% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)67.6% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.088999999999999 0.09)22.89% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.13200000000001 0.13)56.64% (-0.132 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 29.88%
    Lech Poznan 44.31%
    Draw 25.79%
Korona KielceDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 44.31%