Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
6 - 0
LKS Lodz

Nene (12', 83'), Marczuk (41'), Imaz (64'), Pululu (70' pen.), Kubicki (77')
Kubicki (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Glowacki (63')
Louveau (33')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and LKS Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, March 16 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: LKS Lodz 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLKS Lodz
56.33% (0.074000000000005 0.07)23.31% (-0.032 -0.03)20.35% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.27% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)48.59% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.074999999999999 0.07)70.71% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (0.055999999999997 0.06)17.05% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (0.1 0.1)47.21% (-0.101 -0.1)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)74.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 56.32%
    LKS Lodz 20.35%
    Draw 23.31%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLKS Lodz
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 56.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.31%
0-1 @ 6.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.35%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
LKS Lodz
2-2
Jagiellonia
Tejan (23'), Ramirez (90' pen.)
Szeliga (7'), Hoti (28'), Flis (33'), Pirulo (36')
K (8'), Hoti (45+12')
Pululu (40' pen., 77')
Dieguez (90+9'), Nguiamba (90+11'), Abramowicz (90+10'), Matysik (90+9')