Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
3 - 2
Puszcza Niepolomice

Ramirez (38' pen.), Balic (58', 76')
Letniowski (11'), Gulen (45+2'), Louveau (83'), Tejan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapolnik (29', 90+1' pen.)
Yakuba (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-0 LKS Lodz
Wednesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 47.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LKS Lodz would win this match.

Result
LKS LodzDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
47.68% (0.10299999999999 0.1)26.23% (-0.174 -0.17)26.09% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.14% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (0.696 0.7)54.71% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (0.572 0.57)76.03% (-0.571 -0.57)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.345 0.34)22.95% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.27% (0.505 0.5)56.73% (-0.505 -0.5)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (0.439 0.44)36.22% (-0.439 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.442 0.44)73.01% (-0.44199999999999 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 47.68%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 26.09%
    Draw 26.22%
LKS LodzDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 12.23% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.31% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.09%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Puszcza Niepolomice
2-1
LKS Lodz
Craciun (25' pen.), Cholewiak (73')
Craciun (38'), Koj (52'), Kidric (89'), Serafin (90+4')
Tejan (46')
Pirulo (6'), Letniowski (7'), Moskal (7'), Dankowski (12'), Ramirez (38'), Tutyskinas (66'), Bobek (89'), Monsalve (90+2'), Hoti (90+8')
Moskal (0'), Malachowski (56')