Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR

LKS Lodz
1 - 1
Ruch Chorzow

Hoti (32')
Mokrzycki (48'), Pirulo (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Szur (88')
Kozak (41'), Letniowski (43')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 1-1 Legia
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Friday, December 8 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LKS Lodz win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a LKS Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
LKS LodzDrawRuch Chorzow
39.59% (-1.144 -1.14)25.54% (0.117 0.12)34.86% (1.022 1.02)
Both teams to score 55.66% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.72% (-0.325 -0.33)48.27% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.58% (-0.297 -0.3)70.42% (0.292 0.29)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (-0.72800000000001 -0.73)24.07% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (-1.044 -1.04)58.35% (1.038 1.04)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.3% (0.46000000000001 0.46)26.69% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (0.607 0.61)61.95% (-0.612 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 39.59%
    Ruch Chorzow 34.87%
    Draw 25.53%
LKS LodzDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 39.59%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.43% (0.085 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.221 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.126 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.87%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Ruch Chorzow
2-0
LKS Lodz
Michalski (14'), Swedrowski (75')
Szymanski (30'), Letniowski (56'), Swedrowski (90+2')

Mokrzycki (3'), Letniowski (90')
Mokrzycki (83')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!