Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 17
Dec 3, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
4 - 4
Ruch Chorzow

Rakoczy (18'), Knap (60', 89' pen.), Makuch (77')
Rakoczy (34')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Szczepan (32' pen., 64'), Bartolewski (45+2'), Swedrowski (81')
Sadlok (34'), Podstawski (66'), Swedrowski (84'), Szymanski (90+6')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 1-1 Cracovia
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawRuch Chorzow
49.28% (-0.699 -0.7)26.33% (0.185 0.18)24.39% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 47.38% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75% (-0.276 -0.28)56.25% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (-0.222 -0.22)77.29% (0.22300000000001 0.22)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)22.88% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.37% (-0.635 -0.63)56.63% (0.634 0.63)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43% (0.323 0.32)38.56% (-0.321 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.304 0.3)75.31% (-0.303 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 49.28%
    Ruch Chorzow 24.39%
    Draw 26.32%
KS CracoviaDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 13.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 49.28%
1-1 @ 12.4% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.83% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.41% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.91% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.39%