Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR
Rakow

LKS Lodz
1 - 1
Rakow

Ramirez (69' pen.)
Balic (42'), Matysiak (43'), Bobek (74'), Mlynarczyk (83'), Tejan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Papanikolaou (90+7')
Kochergin (90+1'), Papanikolaou (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between LKS Lodz and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 LKS Lodz
Monday, March 11 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Rakow
Wednesday, March 13 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a LKS Lodz win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
LKS LodzDrawRakow Czestochowa
25.58% (-0.225 -0.23)25.99% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)48.43% (0.278 0.28)
Both teams to score 49.4% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)54.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (0.033000000000001 0.03)75.57% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.172 -0.17)36.36% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.174 -0.17)73.14% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (0.14 0.14)22.38% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (0.211 0.21)55.89% (-0.211 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    LKS Lodz 25.58%
    Rakow Czestochowa 48.43%
    Draw 25.99%
LKS LodzDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.58%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 12.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.12% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 48.43%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 8
Rakow
1-0
LKS Lodz
Papanikolaou (8')
Cebula (47'), Kovacevic (73')

Monsalve (28'), Ramirez (83')
Juric (90+9')