Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23

Mar 3, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Rakow

Rakow
4 - 0
Lech Poznan

Nowak (14'), Berggren (25', 36'), Mrozek (69' og.)
Svarnas (8'), Drachal (21'), Crnac (29')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Gurgul (5'), Marchwinski (40')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Rakow
Saturday, February 24 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, February 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Lech Poznan
44.71% ( -0.97)	25.83% ( 0.25)	29.46% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.65)

51.22% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

-0.57)

73.06% (

0.57)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.16% (

-0.73)

22.84% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.43% (

-1.09)

56.57% (

1.09)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.28% (

0.2)

31.72% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.86% (

0.23)

68.14% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 44.71%

Lech Poznan 29.46%

Draw 25.82%

Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.1% Total : 44.71%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.46%