Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 18
Dec 10, 2023 at 11.30am UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
0 - 1
Piast Gliwice


Blazic (55'), Ishak (85'), Karlstrom (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dziczek (86' pen.)
Szczepanski (57'), Mokwa (90+9'), Mokwa (90+9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, November 24 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawPiast Gliwice
43.06% (-0.163 -0.16)25.86% (0.037000000000003 0.04)31.08% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.105 -0.11)50.65% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-0.093 -0.09)72.55% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.126 -0.13)23.39% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.182 -0.18)57.36% (0.18 0.18)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.72% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.55% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.45% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 43.05%
    Piast Gliwice 31.08%
    Draw 25.85%
Lech PoznanDrawPiast Gliwice
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.08%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Piast Gliwice
1-2
Lech Poznan
Dziczek (43' pen.)
Mosor (13')
Marchwinski (46', 54')
Karlstrom (22'), Murawski (61'), Sousa (90+1'), Sobiech (90+4')