Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
3 - 1
Cracovia

Ulvestad (1'), Bitri (15' og.), Bichakhchyan (87')
Kurzawa (41'), Koulouris (54'), Przyborek (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kallman (3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-2 Szczecin
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, March 16 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawKS Cracovia
48.11% (-4.545 -4.55)25.43% (0.971 0.97)26.46% (3.575 3.58)
Both teams to score 51.83% (0.622 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (-0.94 -0.94)51.34% (0.941 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (-0.827 -0.83)73.16% (0.82599999999999 0.83)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-2.252 -2.25)21.35% (2.254 2.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-3.6 -3.6)54.32% (3.602 3.6)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.91% (2.605 2.61)34.09% (-2.604 -2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (2.707 2.71)70.78% (-2.706 -2.71)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 48.11%
    KS Cracovia 26.46%
    Draw 25.42%
Pogon SzczecinDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.928 -0.93)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.508 -0.51)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.834 -0.83)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.344 -0.34)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.469 -0.47)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 7.28% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.198 0.2)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.807 0.81)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.677 0.68)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.693 0.69)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.189 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.335 0.34)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.46%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Cracovia
1-5
Szczecin
Rakoczy (90+4')
Rakoczy (70')
Grosicki (8' pen.), Gorgon (21', 50'), Koulouris (64'), Smolinski (87')
Malec (45'), Koulouris (73'), Smolinski (88')