Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
0 - 2
Zaglebie Lubin


Malec (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chodyna (21' pen.), Kurminowski (86')
Dioudis (45+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Szczecin
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Zaglebie Lubin had a probability of 23.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawZaglebie Lubin
55.02% (-0.191 -0.19)21.63% (0.073 0.07)23.35% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 61.28% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.64% (-0.197 -0.2)37.36% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.43% (-0.214 -0.21)59.57% (0.218 0.22)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (-0.122 -0.12)13.59% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.28% (-0.249 -0.25)40.72% (0.254 0.25)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)29.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (-0.012 -0.01)65% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 55.02%
    Zaglebie Lubin 23.36%
    Draw 21.63%
Pogon SzczecinDrawZaglebie Lubin
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.89% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.23% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 9.74% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.95% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.88% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 23.36%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
Szczecin
Kopacz (78')
Nalepa (89')

Przyborek (45+2'), Wahlqvist (60'), Bichakhchyan (66'), Zahovic (74'), Kurzawa (90+4')