Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
1 - 0
Korona Kielce

Kurminowski (17')
Kopacz (74'), Nalepa (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trejo (40'), Blanik (40'), Godinho (60'), Strzebonski (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zaglebie Lubin in this match.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
44.16% (-1.336 -1.34)27.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)28.2% (1.323 1.32)
Both teams to score 46.63% (0.796 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.33% (0.60100000000001 0.6)58.67% (-0.60100000000001 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.79% (0.465 0.47)79.21% (-0.465 -0.47)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)26.42% (0.404 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (-0.542 -0.54)61.58% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (1.424 1.42)36.63% (-1.425 -1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (1.404 1.4)73.42% (-1.404 -1.4)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 44.16%
    Korona Kielce 28.2%
    Draw 27.63%
Zaglebie LubinDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.57% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.16%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.68% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.72% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.275 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.171 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.146 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 28.2%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Korona Kielce
2-0
Zaglebie Lubin
Nono (15'), Dalmau (22')
Schikavko (63')

Kludka (11'), Kirkeskov (55'), Wozniak (90')
Kludka (31')