Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
1 - 1
Szczecin

Wszolek (49')
Pesqueira (74'), Pekhart (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koulouris (60')
Wahlqvist (58'), Koutris (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Korona Kielce 3-3 Legia
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 4-2 LKS Lodz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawPogon Szczecin
42.21% (-0.334 -0.33)24.36% (0.118 0.12)33.44% (0.218 0.22)
Both teams to score 59.42% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.77% (-0.482 -0.48)43.23% (0.483 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.37% (-0.476 -0.48)65.63% (0.47799999999999 0.48)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)20.62% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.56 -0.56)53.17% (0.562 0.56)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.101 -0.1)25.14% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.139 -0.14)59.86% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 42.21%
    Pogon Szczecin 33.44%
    Draw 24.36%
Legia WarsawDrawPogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 42.21%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.18% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Szczecin
3-4
Legia
Grosicki (29'), Koulouris (51'), Bichakhchyan (71')
Gorgon (58'), Stolarski (90+2'), Stolarski (90+3')
Pekhart (33'), Wszolek (69'), Elitim (78'), Kapuadi (84')
Kapuadi (42')
Jedrzejczyk (45+4')
rhs 2.0


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