Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
1 - 1
Cracovia

Trojak (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kristjan Olafsson (37')
Sokolowski (33'), Skovgaard (51')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Korona Kielce
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 0-1 Warta Poznan
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Korona KielceDrawKS Cracovia
38.06% (-0.246 -0.25)29.01% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)32.94% (0.272 0.27)
Both teams to score 44.63% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.98% (0.117 0.12)62.02% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25% (0.087 0.09)81.75% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.48% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-0.107 -0.11)67.87% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (0.25700000000001 0.26)34.86% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (0.269 0.27)71.6% (-0.264 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 38.05%
    KS Cracovia 32.93%
    Draw 29%
Korona KielceDrawKS Cracovia
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 10.97% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 29%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.09% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 32.93%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 7
Cracovia
0-0
Korona Kielce
Hoskonen (44'), Knap (90+3')
Godinho (58')