Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.