Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 17, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
2 - 2
Szczecin

Nono (22'), Blanik (42')
Hofmeister (14'), Nono (38'), Remacle (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Grosicki (54' pen.), Gorgon (67')
Gorgon (56'), Wahlqvist (76')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Rakow
Wednesday, March 13 at 5.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 0-2 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Korona KielceDrawPogon Szczecin
26.31% (-0.552 -0.55)25.37% (-0.203 -0.2)48.32% (0.75 0.75)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (0.44 0.44)51.19% (-0.446 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (0.384 0.38)73.03% (-0.387 -0.39)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.21199999999999 -0.21)34.14% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.17% (-0.225 -0.22)70.82% (0.22199999999999 0.22)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.509 0.51)21.2% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (0.785 0.78)54.08% (-0.788 -0.79)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 26.31%
    Pogon Szczecin 48.32%
    Draw 25.36%
Korona KielceDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.18% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 26.31%
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.11 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.071 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.076 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.32%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 8
Szczecin
3-1
Korona Kielce
Bichakhchyan (45+6'), Gorgon (66'), Loncar (81')
Grosicki (43'), Zahovic (73')
Nono (36' pen.)
Remacle (61'), Kuzera (73')