Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2024 at 2pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
1 - 1
Piast Gliwice

Dalmau (62' pen.)
Malarczyk (33'), Krogstad (40'), Krogstad (47'), Dziczek (88'), Podgorski (90+6'), Kwiecien (90+7'), Dalmau (90+6'), (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ameyaw (28')
Wilczek (1'), Pyrka (25'), Trojak (88'), Czerwinski (90+6')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Korona Kielce
Monday, April 29 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-0 Warta Poznan
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Korona KielceDrawPiast Gliwice
32.06% (-0.7 -0.7)27.32% (-0.163 -0.16)40.62% (0.866 0.87)
Both teams to score 49.24% (0.285 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.83% (0.456 0.46)56.16% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.77% (0.366 0.37)77.22% (-0.366 -0.37)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.58% (-0.251 -0.25)32.41% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.07% (-0.282 -0.28)68.93% (0.283 0.28)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (0.69199999999999 0.69)27.13% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (0.892 0.89)62.53% (-0.892 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 32.06%
    Piast Gliwice 40.62%
    Draw 27.31%
Korona KielceDrawPiast Gliwice
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.8% (-0.155 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 11.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.123 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.48% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.062 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2%
Total : 40.62%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 14
Piast Gliwice
0-0
Korona Kielce
Kadzior (35')
Hofmeister (11')