Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Korona Kielce win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.