Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.