Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
1 - 0
Korona Kielce

Zreľak (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Korona Kielce.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Warta Poznan
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-0 Stal Mielec
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawKorona Kielce
33.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)28.22% (0.004999999999999 0)37.85% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.01% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.84% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)59.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.41% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)79.59% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)32.67% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)69.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.82% (0.00099999999999056 0)30.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)66.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 33.92%
    Korona Kielce 37.85%
    Draw 28.21%
Warta PoznanDrawKorona Kielce
1-0 @ 11.02%
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.92%
1-1 @ 13.21%
0-0 @ 9.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 37.85%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 11
Korona Kielce
1-1
Warta Poznan
Remacle (90+6')
Kupczak (50')
Vizinger (72'), Plesnierowicz (73')