Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.