Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
  • Mateusz Kupczak 26' goal
  • goal Dawid Kurminowski 57'
  • yellowcard Luis Mata 81'

Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 15, 2024 7.30pm
Lech Poznan 2 - 0 Warta Poznan
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kajetan Szmyt

Zaglebie Lubin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 15, 2024 5.00pm
Zaglebie Lubin 0 - 0 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Dawid Kurminowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Warta Poznan 34.59% (-0.31)
Draw 26.44% (+0.12)
Zaglebie Lubin 38.97% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.82% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 52.18% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 26.11% (-0.46)
Under 3.5 73.89% (+0.46)
Over 4.5 12.07% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 87.93% (+0.30)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 71.25% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 28.75% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.56)
Under 1.5 64.58% (+0.56)

Zaglebie Lubin Goals

Over 0.5 73.82% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 26.18% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 61.27% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Warta Poznan 34.59%
Draw 26.43%
Zaglebie Lubin 38.97%
Warta Poznan
1-0 @ 9.38% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.53% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.43%
Zaglebie Lubin
0-1 @ 10.08% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 8.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.97%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 24, 2023 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Zaglebia Lubin
  • Mateusz Grzybek 44' yellowcard
  • Tomasz Makowski 56' goal
  • Mateusz Grzybek 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Stavropoulos 77'
  • yellowcard Dario Vizinger 82'