Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
1 - 1
Zaglebie Lubin

Kupczak (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kurminowski (57')
Mata (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Zaglebie Lubin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Warta Poznan
Friday, March 15 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Stal Mielec
Friday, March 15 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawZaglebie Lubin
34.59% (-0.283 -0.28)26.44% (0.123 0.12)38.97% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.439 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.82% (-0.539 -0.54)52.18% (0.54 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.11% (-0.467 -0.47)73.89% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)28.75% (0.438 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)64.58% (0.54799999999999 0.55)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.82% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)26.18% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.216 -0.22)61.27% (0.218 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 34.59%
    Zaglebie Lubin 38.97%
    Draw 26.43%
Warta PoznanDrawZaglebie Lubin
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 34.59%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.97%

How you voted: Warta Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin

Warta Poznan
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Zaglebie Lubin
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Zaglebie Lubin
1-0
Warta Poznan
Makowski (56')
Grzybek (44')
Grzybek (90')

Stavropoulos (77'), Vizinger (82')