Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 51.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Piast Gliwice would win this match.