Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2024 6.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej
  • Konrad Matuszewski 7' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 38' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 46' goal
  • Dawid Szymonowicz 49' goal
  • Adam Zreľak 71' goal
  • goal Alvis Jaunzems 17'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Maksymilian Pingot 48'

Warta Poznan vs Stal Mielec - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 5.00pm
Warta Poznan 1 - 0 Korona Kielce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kajetan Szmyt

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 2.00pm
Stal Mielec 0 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warta Poznan win with a probability of 45.89%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warta Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warta Poznan would win this match.

Result

Warta Poznan 45.89% (-0.19)
Draw 28.04% (+0.08)
Stal Mielec 26.07% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.18% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.92% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 61.08% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 18.94% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 81.05% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 7.74% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 92.26% (+0.08)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 73.34% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 26.65% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 38.1% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 61.9% (+0.24)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 60.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 39.76% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.57% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.43% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Warta Poznan 45.88%
Draw 28.03%
Stal Mielec 26.07%
Warta Poznan
1-0 @ 14.01% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.59% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.03%
Stal Mielec
0-1 @ 9.77% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 5.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 12
Oct 23, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Maciej Domanski 22' yellowcard
  • Marco Ehmann 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maciej Zurawski 27'
  • goal Maciej Zurawski 52'
  • goal Miguel Luis 75'