Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2024 11.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Ilya Shkurin 11' goal
  • Matthew Guillaumier 29' goal
  • Mateusz Matras 47' yellowcard
  • Matthew Guillaumier 58' goal
  • yellowcard Przemyslaw Szur 61'
  • goal Josema 64'

Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 4, 2024 6.00pm
Radomiak Radom 2 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 7.30pm
Ruch Chorzow 3 - 0 Piast Gliwice
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Daniel Szczepan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Stal Mielec 35.08% (-0.03)
Draw 26.66% (-0.03)
Ruch Chorzow 38.26% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.97% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 53.03% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.38% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.62% (-0.09)
Over 4.5 11.6% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 88.4% (-0.06)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 71.14% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 28.85% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 35.28% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 64.72% (-0.05)

Ruch Chorzow Goals

Over 0.5 73.02% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 26.97% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 37.68% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 62.32% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Stal Mielec 35.08%
Draw 26.65%
Ruch Chorzow 38.25%
Stal Mielec
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.65%
Ruch Chorzow
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.3% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2023 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Daniel Szczepan 18' goal
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Leandro 51'
  • yellowcard Maciej Domanski 63'
  • yellowcard Piotr Wlazlo 81'
  • redcard Leandro 90'+5'