Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
3 - 1
Ruch Chorzow

Shkurin (11'), Guillaumier (29', 58')
Matras (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Josema (64')
Szur (61')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Stal Mielec
Monday, March 4 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 3-0 Piast Gliwice
Friday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawRuch Chorzow
35.08% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)26.66% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)38.26% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.97% (0.094000000000001 0.09)53.03% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.38% (0.080000000000002 0.08)74.62% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.034000000000006 0.03)28.85% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.72% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.067999999999998 0.07)26.97% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (0.089999999999996 0.09)62.32% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 35.08%
    Ruch Chorzow 38.25%
    Draw 26.65%
Stal MielecDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.25%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Ruch Chorzow
1-1
Stal Mielec
Szczepan (18')
Shkurin (45+1')
Leandro (51'), Domanski (63'), Wlazlo (81')
Leandro (90+5')