Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.