Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 19
Dec 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Piast Gliwice
3 - 0
Stal Mielec

Huk (51'), Felix (62'), Kadzior (73')
Huk (31'), Chrapek (46')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Getinger (19'), Guillaumier (59'), Pajnowski (72'), Stepien (77')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Piast Gliwice and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Piast Gliwice

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, December 10 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 2-2 Stal Mielec
Saturday, December 9 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Piast Gliwice would win this match.

Result
Piast GliwiceDrawStal Mielec
58.61% (-0.346 -0.35)24.31% (0.22 0.22)17.08% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 43.07% (-0.359 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.33% (-0.61 -0.61)56.67% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.37% (-0.492 -0.49)77.63% (0.491 0.49)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.79% (-0.363 -0.36)19.2% (0.361 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.1% (-0.601 -0.6)50.89% (0.6 0.6)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.31% (-0.204 -0.2)46.69% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.75% (-0.156 -0.16)82.25% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Piast Gliwice 58.6%
    Stal Mielec 17.08%
    Draw 24.3%
Piast GliwiceDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 14.79% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.97% (0.207 0.21)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 17.08%

Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Stal Mielec
0-0
Piast Gliwice
Kieres (0')