Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1

Jul 19, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 0
Puszcza Niepolomice

Nene (78'), Diaby-Fadiga (90+8')
Skrzypczak (55'), Diaby-Fadiga (87'), Abramowicz (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Abramowicz (41'), Craciun (76'), Stepien (83')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Jagiellonia 0-1 H. Tel Aviv
Wednesday, July 17 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
50.66% ( -3.24)	24.5% ( 0.4)	24.84% ( 2.84)

Both teams to score 53.25% (

2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

1.09)

48.76% (

-1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

0.99)

70.87% (

-0.99)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.84)

19.26% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

-1.41)

50.98% (

1.41)

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

3.19)

34.05% (

-3.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

3.29)

70.74% (

-3.29)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 50.66%

Puszcza Niepolomice 24.84%

Draw 24.49%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Puszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.92) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.65) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.33) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 50.66%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.61) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.39) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.84%