Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.