Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 25, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 0
Warta Poznan

Nene (5'), Romanczuk (11'), Imaz (26')
Dieguez (61'), Sacek (76'), Nguiamba (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Zreľak (44'), Kupczak (60'), Savic (79')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Warta Poznan 0-1 Legia
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Warta Poznan win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWarta Poznan
58.22% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)19.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)43.09% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)65.49% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.49% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.51% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.48% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)42.52% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)72.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 58.22%
    Warta Poznan 19.88%
    Draw 21.89%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.94%
2-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 58.22%
1-1 @ 10.29%
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.89%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 19.88%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Warta Poznan
1-2
Jagiellonia
Zurawski (32')
Matuszewski (19'), Luis (23'), Vizinger (47'), Borowski (49')
Borowski (71')
Normann Hansen (1'), Naranjo (66')
Dieguez (44')