Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion przy Drodze Debinskiej

Warta Poznan
2 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Cigaņiks (9' og.), Kupczak (12')
Matuszewski (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sanchez (44')
Sanchez (20'), Milos (20')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Warta Poznan and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Warta Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-0 Warta Poznan
Friday, April 26 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Rakow
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Warta PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
33.48% (0.020000000000003 0.02)27.15% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)39.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.13% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.78% (0.117 0.12)55.22% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (0.096999999999998 0.1)76.45% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03% (0.071000000000012 0.07)30.96% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73% (0.082999999999998 0.08)67.26% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (0.061999999999998 0.06)27.38% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)62.85% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Warta Poznan 33.48%
    Widzew Lodz 39.36%
    Draw 27.14%
Warta PoznanDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.48%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 10.98% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.36%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Widzew Lodz
0-1
Warta Poznan
Eppel (20')
Borowski (67'), Grobelny (90+2')