Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.