Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 29
Apr 20, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Ruch Chorzow
2 - 3
Widzew Lodz

Kozak (76', 90+17')
Stepinski (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Silva (2'), Sanchez (49'), Pawlowski (90+13' pen.)
Ibiza (31'), Nunes (45'), Alvarez (90+2'), Pawlowski (90+9')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Ruch Chorzow and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 5-0 Ruch Chorzow
Friday, April 12 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Ruch ChorzowDrawWidzew Lodz
32.35% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)27.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)40.37% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.06% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)32.11% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)68.59% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)27.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.037999999999997 0.04)62.59% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Ruch Chorzow 32.35%
    Widzew Lodz 40.37%
    Draw 27.28%
Ruch ChorzowDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.35%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 40.37%

Head to Head
Nov 18, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Widzew Lodz
2-1
Ruch Chorzow
Nunes (47'), Sanchez (87')
Bartolewski (16')
Szymanski (50'), Kasolik (65')