Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 25
Mar 16, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Ruch Chorzow
1 - 2
Gornik

Novothny (86')
Niedzwiedz (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kapralik (45+4'), Kozuki (81')
Janicki (45+2'), Szczesniak (65'), Bielica (90+3')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Ruch Chorzow and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ruch Chorzow

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch Chorzow
Sunday, March 10 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 0-0 Lech Poznan
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ruch Chorzow win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ruch Chorzow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Ruch ChorzowDrawGornik Zabrze
41.6% (-0.154 -0.15)26.44% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)31.96% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.9% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.064999999999998 0.06)52.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (0.057000000000002 0.06)74.39% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)25.05% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.27% (-0.067 -0.07)59.73% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.25% (0.14100000000001 0.14)30.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.99% (0.166 0.17)67.01% (-0.167 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Ruch Chorzow 41.6%
    Gornik Zabrze 31.96%
    Draw 26.44%
Ruch ChorzowDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.6%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.36% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.96%

Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Gornik
1-0
Ruch Chorzow
Podolski (51')
Janza (49'), Triantafyllopoulos (54'), Yokota (66')

Bartolewski (48'), Wojtowicz (48'), Szczepan (55'), Sikora (64')