Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 24
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
0 - 0
Lech Poznan


Ennali (68')
FT
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gornik 2-1 Jagiellonia
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 4-0 Lech Poznan
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLech Poznan
37.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)36.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 53.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.04% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)72.9%
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)61.76% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)62.46% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 37.36%
    Lech Poznan 36.43%
    Draw 26.19%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.32%
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38%
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 37.36%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.39%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.14%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 36.43%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 7
Lech Poznan
1-1
Gornik
Czerwinski (70')
Karlstrom (45+1'), Szymczak (79')
Yokota (45' pen.)
Musiolik (51')