Rakow
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 26
Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Rakow

Rakow
1 - 1
Ruch Chorzow

Crnac (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moneta (90+5')
Bartolewski (82'), Szymanski (90'), Letniowski (90+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Ruch Chorzow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LKS Lodz 1-1 Rakow
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 1-2 Gornik
Saturday, March 16 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ruch Chorzow had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Ruch Chorzow win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawRuch Chorzow
56.7% (0.045999999999999 0.05)23.24% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)20.06% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.148 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (0.199 0.2)48.63% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (0.182 0.18)70.74% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (0.156 0.16)47% (-0.165 -0.16)
Ruch Chorzow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (0.11199999999999 0.11)38.51% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.108 0.11)75.26% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 56.7%
    Ruch Chorzow 20.06%
    Draw 23.23%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawRuch Chorzow
1-0 @ 11.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 56.7%
1-1 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 23.23%
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 20.06%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Ruch Chorzow
3-5
Rakow
Wojtowicz (7'), Podstawski (71'), Szczepan (80' pen.)
Podstawski (60')
Drachal (20', 28', 42'), Plavsic (68'), Kochergin (87')
Nowak (61'), Papanikolaou (78'), Lederman (90+8')
rhs 2.0


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