Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.