Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 12, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
1 - 0
Warta Poznan

Solowiej (8'), Walski (51')
Wojcinowicz (60'), Tomalski (65'), Siemaszko (73'), Zapolnik (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Grobelny (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Slask Wroclaw
Saturday, May 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Warta Poznan

Last Game: Warta Poznan 1-4 Teplice
Wednesday, July 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puszcza Niepolomice win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puszcza Niepolomice in this match.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawWarta Poznan
40.53% (0.358 0.36)26.97% (0.327 0.33)32.49% (-0.686 -0.69)
Both teams to score 50.42% (-1.212 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.26% (-1.458 -1.46)54.74% (1.458 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.95% (-1.224 -1.22)76.05% (1.223 1.22)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.477 -0.48)26.52% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.28% (-0.639 -0.64)61.72% (0.639 0.64)
Warta Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (-1.195 -1.19)31.38% (1.195 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-1.405 -1.41)67.75% (1.406 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 40.52%
    Warta Poznan 32.49%
    Draw 26.97%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawWarta Poznan
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.216 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 40.52%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.461 0.46)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.181 -0.18)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.229 0.23)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 5pm
gameweek 15
Warta Poznan
0-2
Puszcza Niepolomice

Plesnierowicz (18')
Yakuba (14'), Craciun (24')
Zapolnik (36'), Stepien (42')