Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32

May 12, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
1 - 0
Warta Poznan

Solowiej (8'), Walski (51')
Wojcinowicz (60'), Tomalski (65'), Siemaszko (73'), Zapolnik (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grobelny (73')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Warta Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Warta Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Warta Poznan 2-1 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, May 5 at 11.30am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puszcza Niepolomice win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puszcza Niepolomice in this match.

Result
Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Warta Poznan
40.53% ( 0.36)	26.97% ( 0.33)	32.49% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 50.42% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.26% (

-1.46)

54.74% (

1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.95% (

-1.22)

76.05% (

1.22)

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.48% (

-0.48)

26.52% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.28% (

-0.64)

61.72% (

0.64)

Warta Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-1.19)

31.38% (

1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

-1.41)

67.75% (

1.41)

Score Analysis

Puszcza Niepolomice 40.52%

Warta Poznan 32.49%

Draw 26.97%

Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Warta Poznan
1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.49%