Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30

Apr 25, 2025 at 5pm UK

Moravski Stadion

Puszcza Niepolomice
4 - 5
Szczecin

Mrozinski (39'), Szymonowicz (46'), Klimek (51', 54')
Craciun (12'), Stec (48'), Barkovskiy (66')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Koulouris (5', 45', 60' pen., 90+3'), Wedrychowski (69')
Loncar (33')
Borges (74'), Borges (74')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions

Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 Radomiak Radom
Monday, April 21 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Rakow
Saturday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 18.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
18.4% ( 0)	22.33% ( 0.02)	59.28% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.84% (

-0.08)

47.15% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.61% (

-0.07)

69.39% (

0.07)

Puszcza Niepolomice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.52% (

-0.04)

39.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.83% (

-0.04)

76.17% (

0.03)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.04)

15.54% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53% (

-0.06)

44.47% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Puszcza Niepolomice 18.4%

Pogon Szczecin 59.27%

Draw 22.32%

Puszcza Niepolomice	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 18.4%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.27%