Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28

Apr 13, 2025 at 1.45pm UK

Stadion Piast

Piast Gliwice
2 - 1
Szczecin

Kostadinov (26'), Chrapek (51')
Dziczek (90'), Dziczek (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Koulouris (90+3')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Piast Gliwice and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Piast Gliwice

All competitions

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-1 Piast Gliwice
Sunday, April 6 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 4-0 Katowice
Sunday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Piast Gliwice	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
32.21% ( -0.34)	26.57% ( -0.04)	41.22% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 51.6% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.81% (

0.08)

53.19% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.24% (

0.06)

74.76% (

-0.06)

Piast Gliwice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.21% (

-0.19)

30.79% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.94% (

-0.22)

67.06% (

0.23)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

0.24)

25.44% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73% (

0.32)

60.27% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Piast Gliwice 32.21%

Pogon Szczecin 41.22%

Draw 26.57%

Piast Gliwice	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 32.21%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.22%