Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11

Oct 6, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Piast Gliwice

Koulouris (90+7')
Bichakhchyan (58'), Wahlqvist (59'), Borges (61'), Kurzawa (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Huk (39')
Huk (90+5')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Katowice 3-1 Szczecin
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Piast Gliwice

All competitions

Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Piast Gliwice
44.49% ( 0.1)	24.67% ( 0)	30.85% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

-0.04)

45.61% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

-0.04)

67.93% (

0.05)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

0.03)

20.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.88% (

0.04)

53.12% (

-0.04)

Piast Gliwice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.09% (

-0.08)

27.91% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.47% (

-0.11)

63.53% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Pogon Szczecin 44.49%

Piast Gliwice 30.85%

Draw 24.66%

Pogon Szczecin	Draw	Piast Gliwice
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.49%	1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.85%