Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
3 - 1
Szczecin

Jedrych (34'), Bergier (90+1'), Marzec (90+6')
Blad (53'), Bergier (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gorgon (90+3')
Cojocaru (54'), Korczakowski (76'), Borges (85')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 3-0 Katowice
Saturday, September 21 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Legia
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
KatowiceDrawPogon Szczecin
34.72% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)25.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.2% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.23% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.004999999999999 0)68.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)25.81% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)60.77% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.031000000000006 0.03)22.86% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.59% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 34.72%
    Pogon Szczecin 40.2%
    Draw 25.07%
KatowiceDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.2%