Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.