Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
44.64% ( 0.04)	25.05% ( 0.05)	30.31% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.47% (

-0.24)

47.53% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.26% (

-0.22)

69.73% (

0.23)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.08)

21.32% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

-0.13)

54.26% (

0.13)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.17)

29.23% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.82% (

-0.22)

65.18% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 44.64%

Pogon Szczecin 30.31%

Draw 25.04%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 44.64%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.31%