Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
47.84% ( -0.07)	25.49% ( -0.17)	26.68% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 51.84% (

0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.58% (

0.87)

51.42% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.77% (

0.76)

73.24% (

-0.75)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

0.33)

21.51% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

0.5)

54.56% (

-0.5)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

0.67)

33.96% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.36% (

0.72)

70.64% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 47.83%

Lechia Gdansk 26.68%

Draw 25.48%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.83%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.68%