Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Widzew Lodz in this match.