Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 1
Jul 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Shkurin (45+2')
Esselink (19'), Stepien (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukowski (73')
Ibiza (52')
Ibiza (81')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: LKS Lodz 3-2 Stal Mielec
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-3 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, May 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawWidzew Lodz
33.28% (-0.257 -0.26)25.9% (0.171 0.17)40.82% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.05% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81% (-0.789 -0.79)50.19% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (-0.705 -0.7)72.15% (0.709 0.71)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-0.547 -0.55)28.6% (0.552 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-0.694 -0.69)64.4% (0.699 0.7)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.304 -0.3)24.3% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (-0.434 -0.43)58.68% (0.439 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 33.28%
    Widzew Lodz 40.82%
    Draw 25.9%
Stal MielecDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.45% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.28%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.226 0.23)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.95% (0.098999999999999 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.82%

How you voted: Stal Mielec vs Widzew Lodz

Stal Mielec
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Widzew Lodz
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 28
Stal Mielec
0-0
Widzew Lodz
Wlazlo (20')
Zyro (6'), Szota (32'), Hanousek (47'), Rondic (78')
Oct 7, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Widzew Lodz
1-0
Stal Mielec
Cigaņiks (73')
Shehu (90+2')

Trabka (42'), Kieres (43')
Kieres (0')
rhs 2.0


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