Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 17, 2024 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • Ilya Shkurin 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danijel Loncar 90'+3'

Stal Mielec vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 11, 2024 2.00pm
Gornik 1 - 1 Stal Mielec
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 11, 2024 7.00pm
Rakow 2 - 1 Szczecin
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kamil Grosicki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Stal Mielec 25.38% (+0.39)
Draw 23.63% (+0.43)
Pogon Szczecin 50.98% (-0.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.62% (-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.44% (-1.55)
Under 2.5 44.56% (+1.55)
Over 3.5 33.07% (-1.52)
Under 3.5 66.93% (+1.52)
Over 4.5 16.85% (-1.11)
Under 4.5 83.15% (+1.12)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5 68.66% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 31.34% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 32.29% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 67.71% (+0.61)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 82.47% (-0.87)
Under 0.5 17.53% (+0.88)
Over 1.5 51.95% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 48.05% (+1.54)

Score analysis

Stal Mielec 25.38%
Draw 23.62%
Pogon Szczecin 50.98%
Stal Mielec
2-1 @ 6.44% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 6.37% (+0.34)
2-0 @ 3.7% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 25.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.49% (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.62%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 9.57% (+0.37)
0-2 @ 8.33% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.61% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 4.84% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.16)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.12)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 50.98%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 21' goal
  • Efthymios Koulouris 27' goal
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 6'
  • yellowcard Marco Ehmann 42'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 55'
  • goal Ilya Shkurin 84'