Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32

May 11, 2024 at 7pm UK

Stadion Rakow

Rakow
2 - 1
Szczecin

Papanikolaou (8'), Crnac (20')
Tudor (40'), Crnac (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Grosicki (74')
Malec (25'), Gustafsson (30'), Zech (51'), Koutris (68'), Gorgon (90+3')
Koutris (90+7')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rakow Czestochowa

All competitions

Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 Rakow
Saturday, May 4 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, May 6 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
45.43% ( -0.18)	24.6% ( 0.07)	29.97% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 57% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.28% (

-0.24)

45.72% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.96% (

-0.23)

68.04% (

0.23)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.78% (

-0.17)

20.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.46% (

-0.28)

52.54% (

0.28)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.44% (

-0.04)

28.56% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.65% (

-0.06)

64.35% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 45.43%

Pogon Szczecin 29.97%

Draw 24.59%

Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.97%