Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.