Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Puszcza Niepolomice

Koutris (53')
Koulouris (8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walski (90'), Revenco (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Puszcza Niepolomice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 2-2 Szczecin
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Korona Kielce
Monday, April 29 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pogon Szczecin in this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
56.15% (0.35700000000001 0.36)22.76% (-0.191 -0.19)21.1% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 54.18% (0.387 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.63099999999999 0.63)45.28% (-0.631 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.603 0.6)67.62% (-0.60199999999999 -0.6)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (0.34700000000001 0.35)15.94% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.631 0.63)45.22% (-0.63 -0.63)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.46% (0.19499999999999 0.19)35.54% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.201 0.2)72.31% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 56.14%
    Puszcza Niepolomice 21.1%
    Draw 22.76%
Pogon SzczecinDrawPuszcza Niepolomice
1-0 @ 10.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.043 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.11% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 5.86% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 21.1%

Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 14
Puszcza Niepolomice
0-2
Szczecin

Poczobut (42')
Grosicki (61'), Koulouris (79')
Ulvestad (16'), Gamboa (35')
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