Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 28
Apr 13, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
2 - 1
Lech Poznan

Majchrzak (7'), Craciun (23')
Komar (25'), Serafin (55'), Koj (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ishak (87')
Blazic (24'), Sousa (55')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Ruch Chorzow 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, April 6 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-0 Szczecin
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawLech Poznan
29.26% (0.619 0.62)26.27% (0.262 0.26)44.46% (-0.884 -0.88)
Both teams to score 51.21% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.92% (-0.742 -0.74)53.08% (0.739 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.34% (-0.635 -0.64)74.66% (0.634 0.63)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (0.076000000000008 0.08)32.83% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (0.087 0.09)69.39% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (-0.73999999999999 -0.74)23.76% (0.739 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-1.075 -1.08)57.91% (1.074 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 29.26%
    Lech Poznan 44.46%
    Draw 26.26%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.26%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.8% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.97% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.06% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.3% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.86% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Lech Poznan
4-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Ba Loua (2'), Karlstrom (43'), Ishak (51'), Milic (90+5')
Zapolnik (4')
Craciun (33')