Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 27
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
INEA stadion

Lech Poznan
1 - 0
Szczecin

Ishak (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bichakhchyan (3'), Przyborek (89')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-0 Lech Poznan
Monday, April 1 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Szczecin 3-1 Cracovia
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lech Poznan in this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawPogon Szczecin
39.78% (-0.147 -0.15)26.2% (0.027000000000001 0.03)34.02% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73% (-0.1 -0.1)51.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)73.1% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (-0.125 -0.13)25.33% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (-0.171 -0.17)60.11% (0.168 0.17)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (0.028000000000006 0.03)28.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (0.032000000000004 0.03)64.47% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 39.78%
    Pogon Szczecin 34.02%
    Draw 26.19%
Lech PoznanDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 34.02%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Szczecin
5-0
Lech Poznan
Ulvestad (17'), Gorgon (33'), Bichakhchyan (39'), Grosicki (47'), Fornalczyk (90+3')
Ulvestad (29'), Cojocaru (48'), Grosicki (66')