Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
1 - 1
Stal Mielec

Pacheco (47')
Rasak (24'), Janza (59'), Szczesniak (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wolsztynski (90+2')
Pingot (82')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 5-0 Gornik
Friday, May 3 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 3-2 Jagiellonia
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawStal Mielec
53.59% (0.096000000000004 0.1)23.04% (-0.029 -0.03)23.37% (-0.073 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.11% (0.050999999999995 0.05)43.89% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.72% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.27% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.66% (0.051000000000002 0.05)16.33% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)45.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)32.66% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)69.21% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 53.59%
    Stal Mielec 23.37%
    Draw 23.03%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawStal Mielec
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.59%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 23.37%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Stal Mielec
2-1
Gornik
Matras (15'), Shkurin (51')
Esselink (55')
Czyz (9')