Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 31
May 3, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Cracovia
5 - 0
Gornik

Makuch (4'), Janicki (42' og.), Kakabadze (53'), Glik (68'), Atanasov (84')
Rakoczy (45+4'), Kucharczyk (78'), Atanasov (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lukoszek (75'), Ennali (78')
Ennali (80')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 0-0 Cracovia
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gornik 4-1 LKS Lodz
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawGornik Zabrze
51.02% (-1.184 -1.18)23.86% (0.431 0.43)25.11% (0.75 0.75)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.623 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.18% (-1.202 -1.2)45.82% (1.198 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (-1.151 -1.15)68.13% (1.148 1.15)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-0.89100000000001 -0.89)17.99% (0.888 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-1.548 -1.55)48.84% (1.545 1.55)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)32.24% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)68.73% (0.02300000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 51.02%
    Gornik Zabrze 25.11%
    Draw 23.86%
KS CracoviaDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.219 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 51.02%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.8% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.325 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.181 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 25.11%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Gornik
1-0
Cracovia
Olkowski (82')
Kapralik (64'), Musiolik (78'), Sekulic (88')

Rakoczy (17'), Knap (47'), Skovgaard (83')