Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
4 - 1
LKS Lodz

Czyz (25'), Ennali (35'), Lukoszek (63'), Nascimento (90')
Pacheco (45'), Szczesniak (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ramirez (84')
Gulen (50'), Durmisi (74'), Louveau (77')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and LKS Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Gornik
Friday, April 19 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

LKS Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: LKS Lodz 2-3 Lech Poznan
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLKS Lodz
49.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)24.14% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)26.54% (0.07 0.07)
Both teams to score 56.02% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13% (0.261 0.26)45.86% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (0.248 0.25)68.18% (-0.249 -0.25)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.091999999999999 0.09)18.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (0.155 0.16)49.99% (-0.157 -0.16)
LKS Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (0.193 0.19)31.13% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (0.223 0.22)67.46% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 49.32%
    LKS Lodz 26.54%
    Draw 24.14%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLKS Lodz
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.54%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
LKS Lodz
0-5
Gornik

Louveau (17'), Marciniak (64')
Siplak (42'), Yokota (65' pen., 82'), Szczesniak (75'), Rasak (80')
Siplak (50')