Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for LKS Lodz had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest LKS Lodz win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gornik Zabrze would win this match.